Prediction of Maximus Jones vs Sho Shimabukuro at Kobe Challenger 11-13-25

• Recent performance on second serves shows Sho Shimabukuro has an edge, winning 49.88% of points compared to Maximus Jones' 43.96%.
• Both players have similar success in returning their opponents' second serves, with Jones slightly ahead at 45.18% compared to Shimabukuro's 44.32%.
• Maximus Jones edges out slightly in first serve return contests, taking 25.18% of points, whereas Shimabukuro wins 24.60%.
• Under pressure, Sho Shimabukuro demonstrates stronger resilience by saving 55.21% of breakpoints, overshadowing Maximus Jones' 52.19% save rate.
• Considering overall match performance in the past year, Shimabukuro has a higher win percentage at 57.63% compared to Jones' 54.55%.
• Both players excel on different surfaces, with Jones performing best on indoor hard with a win ratio of 60% and Shimabukuro on hard courts also at 60%.
• Sho Shimabukuro has faced tougher competition on average, with opponents ranked at 260.46, while Maximus Jones has played against players averaging a rank of 398.56.
• In deciding sets, Jones exhibits greater tenacity, securing 61% of matches that go the distance versus Shimabukuro’s 50%.
• When breaking serve recently, Jones slightly outperforms Shimabukuro, converting 32.19% of breakpoints versus 31.61%.

Editorial Prediction (November 13, 2025, UTC):

Both Maximus Jones and Sho Shimabukuro bring distinct strengths to the court, making this upcoming match a close contest.

Sho Shimabukuro shows a slight advantage in second serve performance, a critical component in match predictions. Additionally, Shimabukuro’s ability to play under pressure, evident through a higher breakpoint save rate, might provide a crucial edge.

However, Maximus Jones demonstrates better results in deciding sets and has a marginally superior first serve return game.

Given Shimabukuro's superior opposition level and marginally higher overall performance statistics over the past year, he appears more likely to prevail in this matchup.